There is an 80% correlation between FBM team score and the rank a team has in their league. That is a very high correlation. But it would not be impressive if FBM team score would be calculated with team results as one of the inputs.
Yet, we do something completely different: FBM team score is calculated by a formula that only uses individual statistics of players in the starting XI. These individual stats are:
- Player Overall Contribution
- Player Attacking Contribution
- Player Defending Contribution
- Player Transitioning Contribution
- Player Reliability
Based only on those five stats, we calculated the following ranking based on the average FBM team score for the 2018/2019 season:
Team | Average FBM score | Current Eredivisie Rank |
Ajax | 219.53 | 1 |
PSV | 179.8 | 2 |
AZ | 149.59 | 4 |
Willem II | 130.29 | 8 |
Feyenoord | 127.75 | 3 |
Heerenveen | 125.09 | 10 |
Utrecht | 123.83 | 5 |
VVV | 122.24 | 13 |
Vitesse | 121.93 | 7 |
Fortuna | 110.56 | 14 |
Groningen | 109.53 | 9 |
Heracles | 102.13 | 6 |
PEC Zwolle | 99.17 | 12 |
Excelsior | 92.41 | 17 |
ADO | 90.54 | 11 |
Graafschap | 86.06 | 16 |
NAC | 82.3 | 18 |
Emmen | 81.2 | 15 |
To be clear: these score are calculated based on stats that look like this in a contribution chart:
Update 17-4-2019: As it is highly likely that if there is a correlation between average FBM team score and league rank that there is also a correlation between average FBM team score and the amount of points a team has scored, we looked at that as well. And there the correlation is even higher, namely 90%!
Team | Average FBM score | Points |
Ajax | 219.53 | 74 |
PSV | 179.8 | 74 |
AZ | 149.59 | 52 |
Willem II | 130.29 | 43 |
Feyenoord | 127.75 | 56 |
Heerenveen | 125.09 | 37 |
Utrecht | 123.83 | 47 |
VVV | 122.24 | 34 |
Vitesse | 121.93 | 44 |
Fortuna | 110.56 | 31 |
Groningen | 109.53 | 42 |
Heracles | 102.13 | 45 |
PEC Zwolle | 99.17 | 35 |
Excelsior | 92.41 | 26 |
ADO | 90.54 | 36 |
Graafschap | 86.06 | 26 |
NAC | 82.3 | 22 |
Emmen | 81.2 | 29 |