Author: admin
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Match preparation PSV vs FC Basel 23-7-2019
The FBM tool makes it easy to predict how upcoming matches will unfold. If we use the most recent starting XI we get the following. As soon as the actual starting XI we’ll update our FBM tool to see what the prediction is based on the actual lineup. The most important numbers are: PSV will…
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Why Răzvan Marin is a decent replacement for Frenkie de Jong
One of the questions that many people have when it comes to the upcoming 19/20 Eredivisie season is whether Răzvan Marin is a good replacement for Frenkie de Jong. In this article I want to show you how to answer that question using FBM statistics. Our approach consists of three steps: Subtract De Jong from…
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Feyenoord needs to defend their #3 spot rather than go for #2 or #1
A huge club like Feyenoord ought to always play for the championship. Nevertheless, the distance between Feyenoord and PSV (currently #2) and Ajax (currently #1) proofs to be to big. In this article I react to the wonderful article “Wat brengt de nabije toekomst voor Feyenoord?” by Enrico Raho. Not to criticize, but to show…
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How Heracles found Dalmau using FBM statistics
Dalmau, the Spanish striker, of Heracles, a Dutch Eredivisie club, has been a huge success in his first season in the Eredivisie. He became the number three topscorer in the Eredivisie with 19 goals scored. Quite an achievement for a striker who came to Heracles without a transfer fee being paid and who played for…
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The less you need to defend to better your team is
Teams prefer to attack (blue) rather than defend (red). But if your team is up against a stronger team, the chance is that they’ll force you to defend. Transitioning is a lot harder than kick and rush. For that reason the weakest teams have very little effectiveness in transitioning. Here are the results of all…
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Very strong correlation between FBM team score and team value
Yesterday, we already showed the high correlation between FBM team score and the league ranking (80%) without using any team statistics like team wins, team goals scored etc. Today, we show you an even higher correlation (88%) between FBM team score and team value according to TransferMarkt.
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Very strong correlation between average FBM team score and league rank
There is an 80% correlation between FBM team score and the rank a team has in their league. That is a very high correlation. But it would not be impressive if FBM team score would be calculated with team results as one of the inputs.
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Dynamical player statistics
Football is a very dynamic game. A lot is happening at the same time. So a static description of a football match or of football players is lacking a crucial element, namely the dynamics of the game. Here are two video’s that shows how two great players, Frenkie de Jong and Hakim Ziyech, differ in…
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Strong correlation between FBM score and red cards
At FBM we divide players into four categories, namely: Excellent players, who have a FBM score of 8 or higher. Good players who have a FBM score between 5.5 and 8. Average players who have a FBM score between 2 and 5.5. Bad players who have a FBM score of below 2. Our assumption is…